Will the Eurozone/Euro Benefit From a US Dollar Crisis?

♠ Posted by Emmanuel in , at 10/14/2013 11:09:00 AM
With the US supposedly flirting with being the first Western country since 1933 Nazi Germany to default, attention needs to be paid on those other Westerners and their economic plight as a consequence.

As a holder of euros myself and other non-junky stores of value--not gold, not Treasuries or any of that riffraff--I of course wish that the United States' self-inflicted crisis wallops their godforsaken currency. No ifs, not buts. However, the opinion of ECB policymakers is decidedly more guarded. Sure, it may increase the prestige of euro currency at a time when the Eurozone is just exiting a very long recession if its share of global currency reserves increases further. Then again, the bifurcation of Northern and Southern states' economic performance is worrying. Sure the likes of Austria and Germany can survive with the single currency at, say, $1.40. But the hobbling "Club Med" countries declared no mas a long time ago.

So yes, (nominal) Austrian CB guv'nor Ewald Nowotny expresses concern with what happens Stateside:
The dollar's role as the world's leading reserve currency is at risk because of the political impasse in the United States, which has raised fears of a debt default, European Central Bank policymaker Ewald Nowotny said.
Then again, Nowotny wears two hats since he is also a member of the ECB's governing council and must therefore consider the plight of the Euro-laggards:
"This discrepancy is very dangerous and in my view will have a negative impact on the long-term role of the dollar.
Interviewed in Washington during meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, Nowotny said jitters over the U.S. budget standoff were already pushing the euro higher. This was not such a big problem for Austrian exporters but posed more of a threat to southern euro zone members, said Nowotny, who is also governor of the Austrian central bank.
What's that saying about the weakest link(s)? It's what holding the Eurozone from wishing the US and its currency a well-deserved oblivion. Sure the Eurozone has taken its lumps, but even the likes of Greece and Portugal didn't default outright.