The Deutsche Bank report further notes that Russia does not have as clear a national strategy to its investment, unlike China:
… to obtain higher profit margins. In some sectors, profit margins have been comparatively low as a consequence of selling products at the lower end of the value chain.10 Hence, Russian outward investment has begun to target higher value-added production facilities. Russian corporations are also trying to widen their profit margins by accessing end-customer markets outside Russia.
… to increase their growth potential. Global consolidation pressures raise the need for Russian companies to grow outside
in order to retain a strategic position in the domestic market and to withstand global competition.12 In addition, expanding abroad may open new growth opportunities in case of limited domestic growth potential. Russia
… to gain access to technological and management know-how. Investing abroad allows fast access to new and more advanced technologies. In addition, foreign investment can help to broaden management skills and to improve risk control capabilities.
… to secure access to raw materials. Despite possessing a vast amount of natural resources, global resource scarcity and growing demand for commodities have sparked off competition with regard to securing access to natural resources. In addition, the exploitation of e.g. oil and gas reserves has become more difficult and costly in the domestic market. As a consequence, Russian oil and gas companies are trying to access raw material sources abroad; for example, they are increasingly expanding in Africa.
… to reduce capital costs via better governance and diversification. Foreign activities, especially in developed markets, will force Russian companies to increase transparency and to improve their corporate governance structures. In addition, international diversification of a firm’s operations and activities can improve its risk profile. As a consequence of the above, the cost of attracting capital may be reduced.
… to benefit from a more favourable investment climate. Limited domestic investment opportunities and political uncertainty may have contributed to capital outflows. The comparatively difficult business and institutional environment in
might also have pushed Russian capital abroad. Russia
In any case, unlike in China, there is no specific “going global” programme for Russian companies, although there is outspoken support by the political elite for corporates’ expansion abroad. The bulk of Russia’s foreign investment is accounted for by private companies and it mainly reflects economic considerations such as obtaining higher profit margins, increasing companies’ growth potential and securing access to raw materials. Foreign engagement also allows access to new technologies, thereby helping to modernise the Russian economy. In addition, foreign activities, especially in developed markets, force Russian companies to increase transparency and to improve their corporate governance structures.Things are no less interesting on the investment receiving front for Russia. Given the high prices commanded by the commodities to be found throughout its lands, Russia has become a key destination for foreign investors. Yet, some are also becoming interested in investing in retail and construction which have been fuelled by the commodity boom. This in spite of unresolved tensions with the West, a potential conflict with Georgia, and less-than-secure property rights. In other words, the lure of lucre seems to be making many less sensitive to considerable "political risk" in the country, at least for now. From Reuters:
With oil at more than $125 per barrel and growth booming, foreign investors in
Russiaare finding it easy to turn a blind eye to the expulsion of U.S.diplomats and increasingly bellicose rhetoric over . Georgia
Moscowexpelled two U.S.military attaches on Thursday following the ouster in recent months of two Russian diplomats from Washington, with the also criticizing the war of words with neighbor Georgia. A Georgian minister said his country was "very close" to war with Russia after its neighbor sent more troops to the breakaway Georgian region of Abkhazia, where separatist rebels said on Thursday they had shot down another pilotless Georgians spy drone. United States
Some investors said even if war were imminent -- rather than simply more rhetoric -- it might not be enough to put them off
as the country benefits from record oil prices in excess of $125 a barrel, pushing growth to 9.5 percent a year. Russia
"Unless the Americans were to send peacekeepers to defend the Georgians I cannot see it having much of an impact," said George Nianias, chairman of Denholm Hall which has some $400 million in fixed income investments in
. " Russia is too big, too important and too dangerous for the West to ever risk anything like that. You could see a local conflict with Russia and the guns actually start to fire without it deterring anyone." Georgia
Georgiahas already suffered a ratings outlook downgrade from agency Standard & Poor's over rising tensions with its neighbor, and fellow ratings agency Fitch has warned any conflict -- unlikely though it is seen -- would lead to a downgrade for Georgiabut not . "It is something I'm definitely watching on Russia Georgia," said one fund manager who holds a small amount of 's $500 million Eurobond issued last month and did not want to be quoted because they were not authorized to speak to the media. "But it's definitely not something that changes my view on Georgia at all." Russia
But head of Fitch emerging Europe sovereigns Edward Parker said an increase in tension between
Russiaand the West arising from could ultimately impact Russian firms by pushing away investors already made wary of risk by the credit crunch. "They have quite significant private sector amortizations (debt) falling due and this could make it more difficult to refinance," he said, making any conflict with Georgia Georgiapotentially more significant than Russia's long-running war in , which had almost no investor impact. Chechnya
For some investors, the risk of conflict with its neighbors is one of the factors that makes
less appealing than some other key emerging markets. "Conflict with its neighbors is a concern that makes it less appealing investment destination than, for example, Russia where you have the growth story without the political risk," said Jason Hepner, investment director for global strategy at Standard Life Investments. Standard Life does not break down investments publicly, but manages some $280 billion globally including in Brazil . Russia
The transition of power from the President Vladimir Putin to his anointed successor Dmitry Medvedev, sworn in this week, is seen making relatively little difference with Putin still in the background as Prime Minister. Some investors say that after the arrest and imprisonment of
's richest man Mikhail Khordorkovsky and dismantlement of his multibillion-dollar oil company YUKOS, they have become hardened to political risk and still see good potential profits. Russia
But since then, most have steered clear of the oil and energy field, preferring to target investments on other sectors such as construction and retail to tap wider growth -- seen less likely to attract state intervention. They say any repeat of the YUKOS affair, perhaps in another sector, would worry foreign players -- but they largely shrug off reported human rights worries.
Analysts say a political row between
Russiaand Britainover the radioactive poisoning of dissident Alexander Litvinenko -- with refusing to extradite the chief suspect and his family accusing the state of murder -- had no impact on investment flows. Britain-based investors continued to put money into a range of Russian assets, while Russian money including from the country's rapidly growing oil-fuelled sovereign wealth fund continued to flow into the West. Russia
Russia's sovereign wealth fund is estimated to be the second largest in the world after China's [?], while last month the number of Russian firms listed on the stock exchange passed 100. "They're obviously not appealing headlines but at the same time they seem to be the continuation of a trend and they don't change the overall picture as such," said Standard Life 's Hepner. "Although obviously if they become more frequent that is a worry. London